Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths
Date
2020
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
Abstract
We estimate the number of COVID-19 cases from newly reported deaths in a population
without previous reports. Our results suggest that by the time a single death occurs,
hundreds to thousands of cases are likely to be present in that population. This suggests
containment via contact tracing will be challenging at this point, and other response
strategies should be considered. Our approach is implemented in a publicly available, userfriendly,
online tool.
Description
CITATION: Jombart, T. et al. 2020. Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths. doi:10.1101/2020.03.10.20033761.
The original publication is available at https://www.medrxiv.org
The original publication is available at https://www.medrxiv.org
Keywords
COVID-19 (Disease) -- Mathematical models, Corona virusses, Epidemics -- Mathematical models, Communicable diseases -- Statistics, Virus diseases -- Transmission
Citation
Jombart, T. et al. 2020. Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths. doi:10.1101/2020.03.10.20033761.