Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths

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dc.contributor.authorJombart, Thibauten_ZA
dc.contributor.authorVan Zandvoort, Kevinen_ZA
dc.contributor.authorRussell, Timothy W.en_ZA
dc.contributor.authorJarvis, Christopher I.en_ZA
dc.contributor.authorGimma, Amyen_ZA
dc.contributor.authorAbbott, Samen_ZA
dc.contributor.authorClifford, Samen_ZA
dc.contributor.authorFunk, Sebastianen_ZA
dc.contributor.authorGibbs, Hamishen_ZA
dc.contributor.authorLiu, Yangen_ZA
dc.contributor.authorPearson, Carl A. B.en_ZA
dc.contributor.authorBosse, Nikos I.en_ZA
dc.contributor.authorCentre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COVID-19 Working Groupen_ZA
dc.contributor.authorEggo, Rosalind, M.en_ZA
dc.contributor.authorKucharski, Adam J.en_ZA
dc.contributor.authorEdmunds, W. Johnen_ZA
dc.date.accessioned2020-04-15T08:07:00Z
dc.date.available2020-04-15T08:07:00Z
dc.date.issued2020
dc.descriptionCITATION: Jombart, T. et al. 2020. Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths. doi:10.1101/2020.03.10.20033761.
dc.descriptionThe original publication is available at https://www.medrxiv.org
dc.description.abstractWe estimate the number of COVID-19 cases from newly reported deaths in a population without previous reports. Our results suggest that by the time a single death occurs, hundreds to thousands of cases are likely to be present in that population. This suggests containment via contact tracing will be challenging at this point, and other response strategies should be considered. Our approach is implemented in a publicly available, userfriendly, online tool.en_ZA
dc.description.versionPreprint
dc.format.extent11 pages
dc.identifier.citationJombart, T. et al. 2020. Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths. doi:10.1101/2020.03.10.20033761.
dc.identifier.otherdoi:10.1101/2020.03.10.20033761
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/107692
dc.language.isoen_ZAen_ZA
dc.rights.holderAuthors retain copyright
dc.subjectCOVID-19 (Disease) -- Mathematical modelsen_ZA
dc.subjectCorona virussesen_ZA
dc.subjectEpidemics -- Mathematical modelsen_ZA
dc.subjectCommunicable diseases -- Statisticsen_ZA
dc.subjectVirus diseases -- Transmissionen_ZA
dc.titleInferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deathsen_ZA
dc.typeArticleen_ZA
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