Projected early spread of COVID-19 in Africa

Pearson, Carl A. B.; Van Schalkwyk, Cari; Foss, Anna M.; O'Reilly, Kathleen M.; CMMID COVID-19 working group; SACEMA; Pulliam, Juliet R. C.

Projected early spread of COVID-19 in Africa

Files

pearson_projected_2020.pdf(1.79 MB)

Date

2020

Authors

Pearson, Carl A. B.

Van Schalkwyk, Cari

Foss, Anna M.

O'Reilly, Kathleen M.

CMMID COVID-19 working group

SACEMA

Pulliam, Juliet R. C.

Abstract

For African countries currently reporting COVID-19 cases, we estimate when they will report more than 1 000 and 10 000 cases. Assuming current trends, more than 80% are likely to exceed 1 000 cases by the end of April 2020, with most exceeding 10 000 a few weeks later.

Description

CITATION: Pearson, C. A. et al. 2020. Projected early spread of COVID-19 in Africa, doi:10.1101/2020.04.05.20054403 .
The original publication is available at https://www.medrxiv.org

Keywords

COVID-19 (Disease) -- Transmission -- Africa, Corona viruses -- Transmission -- Computer simulation, Epidemics -- Mathematical models, Communical diseases -- Statistics, Virus diseases -- Transmission -- Africa

Citation

Pearson, C. A. et al. 2020. Projected early spread of COVID-19 in Africa, doi:10.1101/2020.04.05.20054403 .

URI

http://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/107707

Collections

Research Articles ((SACEMA) South African Centre for Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis )

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