The role of age-mixing patterns in HIV transmission dynamics : Novel hypotheses from a field study in Cape Town, South Africa

dc.contributor.authorBeauclair, Roxanneen_ZA
dc.contributor.authorHens, Nielen_ZA
dc.contributor.authorDelva, Wimen_ZA
dc.date.accessioned2019-09-19T10:42:13Z
dc.date.available2019-09-19T10:42:13Z
dc.date.issued2018
dc.descriptionCITATION: Beauclair, R., Hens, N. & Delva, W. 2018. The role of age-mixing patterns in HIV transmission dynamics : Novel hypotheses from a field study in Cape Town, South Africa. Epidemics, 25:61-71, doi:10.1016/j.epidem.2018.05.006.
dc.descriptionThe original publication is available at https://www.sciencedirect.com
dc.description.abstractBackground: Age-disparate relationships are thought to put young women at increased risk of HIV, though current evidence is inconclusive. Studying population-level age-mixing patterns as well as individual-level measures of age difference variation may provide insight into the persistence and magnitude of the epidemic in South Africa. Methods: We used data from a survey in Cape Town (n=506) to describe age-mixing dynamics in the four population strata of HIV negative and HIV positive male and female participants. Mixed-effects models were used to calculate the average increase in partner age for each year increase in age of participant, the average partner age for 15 year olds, and the between-subject and the within-subject standard deviation of partner ages. We conducted 2000 bootstrap replications of the models. Using negative binomial models, we also explored whether HIV status was associated with participants having a larger range in partner ages. Results: HIV positive women had large variability in partner ages at the population level, and at the individual level had nearly three times the expected range of partner ages compared to HIV negative women. This pattern may increase the potential for HIV transmission across birth cohorts and may partially explain the persistence of the epidemic in South Africa. Young men, who have been previously absent from the age-disparity discourse, also choose older partners who may be putting them at increased risk of HIV infection due to the high HIV prevalence among older age categories of women.en_ZA
dc.description.urihttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1755436517301780
dc.description.versionPublisher's version
dc.format.extent11 pages
dc.identifier.citationBeauclair, R., Hens, N. & Delva, W. 2018. The role of age-mixing patterns in HIV transmission dynamics : Novel hypotheses from a field study in Cape Town, South Africa. Epidemics, 25:61-71, doi:10.1016/j.epidem.2018.05.006
dc.identifier.issn1878-0067 (online)
dc.identifier.issn1755-4365 (print)
dc.identifier.otherdoi:10.1016/j.epidem.2018.05.006
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/106497
dc.language.isoen_ZAen_ZA
dc.publisherElsevier
dc.rights.holderAuthors retain copyright
dc.subjectHIV infections -- Cape Town -- South Africaen_ZA
dc.subjectHIV infected persons -- Sexual behavioren_ZA
dc.subjectHIV infections -- Age factorsen_ZA
dc.titleThe role of age-mixing patterns in HIV transmission dynamics : Novel hypotheses from a field study in Cape Town, South Africaen_ZA
dc.typeArticleen_ZA
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