Host-seeking efficiency can explain population dynamics of the tsetse fly Glossina morsitans morsitans in response to host density decline

dc.contributor.authorLord, Jennifer S.en_ZA
dc.contributor.authorMthombothi, Zinhleen_ZA
dc.contributor.authorLagat, Vitalis K.en_ZA
dc.contributor.authorAtuhaire, Fatumahen_ZA
dc.contributor.authorHargrove, John W.en_ZA
dc.date.accessioned2018-11-09T13:34:03Z
dc.date.available2018-11-09T13:34:03Z
dc.date.issued2017
dc.descriptionCITATION: Lord, J. S., et al. 2017. Host-seeking efficiency can explain population dynamics of the tsetse fly Glossina morsitans morsitans in response to host density decline. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 11(7):e0005730, doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0005730.
dc.descriptionThe original publication is available at https://journals.plos.org/plosntds
dc.description.abstractFemales of all blood-feeding arthropod vectors must find and feed on a host in order to produce offspring. For tsetse—vectors of the trypanosomes that cause human and animal African trypanosomiasis—the problem is more extreme, since both sexes feed solely on blood. Host location is thus essential both for survival and reproduction. Host population density should therefore be an important driver of population dynamics for haematophagous insects, and particularly for tsetse, but the role of host density is poorly understood. We investigate the issue using data on changes in numbers of tsetse (Glossina morsitans morsitans Westwood) caught during a host elimination experiment in Zimbabwe in the 1960s. During the experiment, numbers of flies caught declined by 95%. We aimed to assess whether models including starvation-dependent mortality could explain observed changes in tsetse numbers as host density declined. An ordinary differential equation model, including starvation-dependent mortality, captured the initial dynamics of the observed tsetse population. However, whereas small numbers of tsetse were caught throughout the host elimination exercise, the modelled population went extinct. Results of a spatially explicit agent-based model suggest that this discrepancy could be explained by immigration of tsetse into the experimental plot. Variation in host density, as a result of natural and anthropogenic factors, may influence tsetse population dynamics in space and time. This has implications for Trypanosoma brucei rhodesiense transmission. Increased tsetse mortality as a consequence of low host density may decrease trypanosome transmission, but hungrier flies may be more inclined to bite humans, thereby increasing the risk of transmission to humans. Our model provides a way of exploring the role of host density on tsetse population dynamics and could be incorporated into models of trypanosome transmission dynamics to better understand how spatio-temporal variation in host density impacts trypanosome prevalence in mammalian hosts.en_ZA
dc.description.urihttps://journals.plos.org/plosntds/article?id=10.1371/journal.pntd.0005730
dc.description.versionPublisher's version
dc.format.extent14 pages
dc.identifier.citationLord, J. S., et al. 2017. Host-seeking efficiency can explain population dynamics of the tsetse fly Glossina morsitans morsitans in response to host density decline. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 11(7):e0005730, doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0005730
dc.identifier.issn1935-2735 (online)
dc.identifier.issn1935-2727 (print)
dc.identifier.otherdoi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0005730
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/104666
dc.language.isoen_ZAen_ZA
dc.publisherPublic Library of Science
dc.rights.holderAuthors retain copyright
dc.subjectTsetse-flies -- Population dynamics -- Mathematical modelsen_ZA
dc.subjectTrypanosomiasis -- Transmissionen_ZA
dc.subjectAnimals as carriers of diseaseen_ZA
dc.subjectHost animals to tsetse-fliesen_ZA
dc.titleHost-seeking efficiency can explain population dynamics of the tsetse fly Glossina morsitans morsitans in response to host density declineen_ZA
dc.typeArticleen_ZA
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