Corridors of Clarity: Four Principles to Overcome Uncertainty Paralysis in the Anthropocene

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dc.contributor.authorPolasky, Stephenen_ZA
dc.contributor.authorCrépin, Anne-Sophieen_ZA
dc.contributor.authorBiggs, Reinette, 1979-en_ZA
dc.contributor.authorCarpenter, Stephen Ren_ZA
dc.date.accessioned2022-04-13T13:06:48Z
dc.date.available2022-04-13T13:06:48Z
dc.date.issued2020-11
dc.description.abstractGlobal environmental change challenges humanity because of its broad scale, long-lasting, and potentially irreversible consequences. Key to an effective response is to use an appropriate scientific lens to peer through the mist of uncertainty that threatens timely and appropriate decisions surrounding these complex issues. Identifying such corridors of clarity could help understanding critical phenomena or causal pathways sufficiently well to justify taking policy action. To this end, we suggest four principles: Follow the strongest and most direct path between policy decisions on outcomes, focus on finding sufficient evidence for policy purpose, prioritize no-regrets policies by avoiding options with controversial, uncertain, or immeasurable benefits, aim for getting the big picture roughly right rather than focusing on details.en_ZA
dc.format.extent7 pages
dc.identifier.otherDOI:10.1093/biosci/biaa115
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/124457
dc.language.isoen_ZAen_ZA
dc.rights.holderAuthors retain copyright
dc.subjectglobal environmental changeen_ZA
dc.subjectscience–policy interfaceen_ZA
dc.subjectsufficient evidenceen_ZA
dc.subjectuncertaintyen_ZA
dc.titleCorridors of Clarity: Four Principles to Overcome Uncertainty Paralysis in the Anthropoceneen_ZA
dc.typeArticleen_ZA
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