Implications of biofuel production in the Western Cape province, South Africa : a system dynamics modelling approach

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dc.contributor.authorJonker, Willemen_ZA
dc.contributor.authorBrent, Alan Colinen_ZA
dc.contributor.authorMusango, Josephine Kavitien_ZA
dc.contributor.authorDe Kock, Imkeen_ZA
dc.date.accessioned2018-10-19T10:20:15Z
dc.date.available2018-10-19T10:20:15Z
dc.date.issued2017
dc.descriptionCITATION: Jonker, W., et al. 2017. Implications of biofuel production in the Western Cape province, South Africa : a system dynamics modelling approach. Journal of Energy in Southern Africa, 28(1):1-12, doi:10.17159/2413-3051/2017/v28i1a1457.
dc.descriptionThe original publication is available at https://journals.assaf.org.za/jesa
dc.description.abstractENGLISH ABSTRACT: The national government instated a mandatory blending policy to facilitate the uptake and establishment of a biofuels sector in South Africa. Uncertainty exists, however, regarding the implications and effects of producing biofuels within the Western Cape province, as part of a strategy of the province to transition to a green economy. This investigation was carried out as an effort to simulate the biofuel production within the Western Cape under certain project and policy considerations. A system dynamics model was developed to identify key strategic intervention points that could strengthen the business case of biofuel production. The model showed a feasible business case for bioethanol production, with the best case showing an internal rate of return of 23% (without government subsidy), and an emissions reduction of 63% when compared with coal. It is recommended that special consideration be given to the location of bioethanol production facilities, as operational costs can be minimised by incorporating invasive alien land-clearing schemes as part of the bioethanol production. The model further showed that medium-to-large-scale biodiesel production in the province is not feasible under the given model assumptions, as the positive effects of local biodiesel production do not justify the required government subsidy of ZAR 4.30 per litre. It is recommended that a different approach be investigated, where multiple on-site small-scale biodiesel production facilities are used, thus utilising multiple feedstock options and minimising capital expenditure.en_ZA
dc.description.urihttps://journals.assaf.org.za/jesa/article/view/1457
dc.description.versionPublisher's version
dc.format.extent12 pages : illustrationsen_ZA
dc.identifier.citation1021-447X (print)Jonker, W., et al. 2017. Implications of biofuel production in the Western Cape province, South Africa : a system dynamics modelling approach. Journal of Energy in Southern Africa, 28(1):1-12, doi:10.17159/2413-3051/2017/v28i1a1457
dc.identifier.issn2413-3051 (online)
dc.identifier.issn1021-447X (print)
dc.identifier.otherdoi:10.17159/2413-3051/2017/v28i1a1457
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/104577
dc.language.isoen_ZAen_ZA
dc.publisherUniversity of Cape Town, Energy Research Centreen_ZA
dc.rights.holderAuthors retain copyrighten_ZA
dc.subjectGreen economyen_ZA
dc.subjectBio-energy (Biomass energyen_ZA
dc.subjectWestern Cape (South Africa)en_ZA
dc.subjectSustainable engineeringen_ZA
dc.subjectRenewable natural resources -- Researchen_ZA
dc.titleImplications of biofuel production in the Western Cape province, South Africa : a system dynamics modelling approachen_ZA
dc.typeArticleen_ZA
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