China's economic hard landing impact on Africa : a scenario analysis

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dc.contributor.authorIgbinoba, Emmanuelen_ZA
dc.contributor.authorHoaeb, Rodneyen_ZA
dc.date.accessioned2017-06-30T10:14:01Z
dc.date.available2017-06-30T10:14:01Z
dc.date.issued2016
dc.descriptionCITATION: Igbinoba, E. & Hoaeb, R. 2016. China’s economic hard landing impact on Africa : a scenario analysis. African East Asian Affairs - The China Monitor, 3:124-152, doi:10.7552/0-3-179.
dc.descriptionThe original publication is available at http://aeaa.journals.ac.za
dc.description.abstractShocks to aggregate commodity demand from China are having significant impact on global commodities and commodity prices. Fears persist that the economic slow-down in China might be steeper and more chaotic than anticipated and reported, as China rebalances its economy thus impacting on growth prospects across world economies. Using a scenario analysis technique, this study evaluates a risk scenario if economic growth in China falls to 4 per cent rather than the projected 6.5 per cent and its associated impact on African economies. The impact of China’s economic slowdown on African economies from an export perspective shows that there is an urgent need for African countries to undertake structural upgrading and diversifica-tion of different sectors of the economy with particular emphasis on agriculture in order to mitigate reduced demand from China.en_ZA
dc.description.versionPublishers' Version
dc.format.extent30 pages
dc.identifier.citationIgbinoba, E. & Hoaeb, R. 2016. China’s economic hard landing impact on Africa : a scenario analysis. African East Asian Affairs - The China Monitor, 3:124-152, doi:10.7552/0-3-179
dc.identifier.issn2308-8699 (online)
dc.identifier.otherdoi:10.7552/0-3-179
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/101890
dc.language.isoen_ZAen_ZA
dc.publisherStellenbosch University, Centre for Chinese Studies
dc.rights.holderAuthors retain copyright
dc.subjectEconomy - Chinaen_ZA
dc.subjectCommodities -- Pricesen_ZA
dc.subjectCommercial products -- Chinaen_ZA
dc.subjectChina -- Relations -- Africa -- Economic aspectsen_ZA
dc.subjectChina -- Economic conditions -- 21st centuryen_ZA
dc.subjectSupply and demand -- China -- Africaen_ZA
dc.subjectAfrica -- Economic policy -- 21st centuryen_ZA
dc.titleChina's economic hard landing impact on Africa : a scenario analysisen_ZA
dc.typeArticleen_ZA
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