Projected early spread of COVID-19 in Africa
CITATION: Pearson, C. A. et al. 2020. Projected early spread of COVID-19 in Africa, doi:10.1101/2020.04.05.20054403 .
The original publication is available at https://www.medrxiv.org
For African countries currently reporting COVID-19 cases, we estimate when they will report more than 1 000 and 10 000 cases. Assuming current trends, more than 80% are likely to exceed 1 000 cases by the end of April 2020, with most exceeding 10 000 a few weeks later.