Browsing by Author "Ward, M."

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    Market reaction to tender and private offers on the JSE
    (AOSIS, 2017) Wesson, N.; Muller, C.; Ward, M.
    Investors can benefit when incorporating the information-signalling effect of share repurchases in their investment strategies. Previous South African studies on open market share repurchases confirmed the globally observed signalling-effect, but found open market share repurchases not to be the outright favoured share repurchase type in this country – as is the case globally. The present study is the first to examine the market reaction to the preferred share repurchase type, namely specific (or tender and private offers) share repurchases, in the South African regulatory environment. Abnormal returns were calculated using a 12-parameter benchmark over a four-year event window, for share repurchases announced from 1999 to 2009. Pro rata tender offers were found not to possess information-signalling benefits, but significant excess returns subsequent to the announcement date were reported for the two private offer types (namely other specific offers and the repurchase by the holding company of shares held by subsidiaries). The other specific offers were found to possess significant information-signalling benefits – especially over the long term and in respect of value companies.
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    Market underreaction to open market share repurchases on the JSE
    (AOSIS, 2014) Wesson, N.; Muller, C.; Ward, M.
    This study examined the long-term performance of open market share repurchase announcements made by companies listed on the JSE during their reporting periods including 1 July 1999 to 2009. A total of 195 open market share repurchase announcements were identified. A maximum outperformance of about 35% was found on day t+550 (about two years subsequent to the announcement). After splitting the sample into 'value' (low P/E ratio) and 'growth' shares (high P/E ratio), it was found that the outperformance was almost entirely confined to the value portfolio, reaching a maximum of about 80% by day t+630 (about two-and-a-halfyears subsequent to the announcement). This study applied a more robust research methodology than used in earlier South African research on this topic; it also used an improved dataset and extended the research period, compared to other research. The results of this study showed much higher positive abnormal returns than were found in earlier international and South African studies. Investors should take advantage of the informational value of open market repurchase announcements and the related significant abnormal returns to be earned.