Browsing by Author "Fourie, Michelle"
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- ItemExploring the social-ecological drivers and impacts of the blueberry boom in South Africa(Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University, 2022-04) Fourie, Michelle; Selomane, Odirilwe; Biggs, Reinette, 1979-; Esler, Karen J.; Stellenbosch University. Faculty of AgriSciences. Dept. of Conservation Ecology and Entomology.ENGLISH ABSTRACT: Since 2015 there has been a rapid increase in blueberry production within South Africa, with most of the industry focused on exporting the fresh fruit. Despite the recent emergence of the blueberry industry, it contributed over R1 billion in export revenue in 2020. To date, little research has been conducted to understand what is driving the growth in the blueberry industry, what impacts the industry has on the local environment and community and how vulnerable the industry is to external shocks. Because the industry is focused on exports, this study explored the social-ecological drivers and impacts of the industry using the telecoupling framework. The thesis consists of 5 Chapters. Chapter 1 introduces the blueberry industry in South Africa, while Chapter 2 introduces the telecoupling framework, which allows for a combination of qualitative and quantitative methods. In Chapter 3, I analysed interview data with individuals in the blueberry industry using a deductive thematic analysis approach as a qualitative method to investigate the drivers of increasing adoption of blueberry production in South Africa. In Chapter 4, I used a life cycle assessment (LCA) as a quantitative method to analyse the social-ecological impact of the blueberry industry in South Africa. Chapter 5 provides a set of conclusions. Chapter 3 identified seven key drivers that contributed to the adoption of blueberry farming. These drivers included (1) the perceived profitability due to the high market value of blueberries on the export market, (2) access to start-up capital as loans or investment to afford the high start-up cost of blueberry production, (3) the growing market with an increasing number of blueberry consumers in richer countries, (4) existing or early relationships with exporting companies to gain access to proprietary genetic material, production advice and connections with buyers, (5) the fact that the harvest season of blueberries falls outside the harvest season of other valuable export fruits like citrus, apples and pears which allows farmers to diversify their operation and income, (6) employment opportunities in a mixed operation that allows farmers to keep their best seasonal staff employed throughout the year, and (7) the low risk of theft associated with blueberries due to their delicate harvesting method. Concerns were raised about the industry’s vulnerability to external shocks, but recently observed socio-political and environmental shocks appeared to have had limited impacts to date. National and global lockdown restrictions as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic (2020 – 2021) had minor impacts on farm operations because agricultural production was considered to be an essential service under lockdown regulations. Additionally, the initial hard lockdown in South Africa (23 March 2020 – 1 May 2020) occurred outside the blueberry harvest season that starts in July, which gave farmers time to prepare. The blueberry industry already complied with many of the COVID-19 hygiene requirements, because blueberries are picked by hand and receive no post-harvest treatment before consumption. Climatic shocks including droughts, early-season rain and hail have had the biggest impacts on the industry. Recent droughts in various areas of South Africa (between 2015 – 2018) forced some farmers to reduce their operation size and to truck water in at an additional cost to meet irrigation needs for blueberries. Abnormal early season rain and hail storms during the picking season in the northern parts of South Africa damaged the fruits and resulted in large yield losses. After civil unrest in two major economic hubs of South Africa (July 2021), Durban and Gauteng, a concern for blueberry farmers surfaced, even though this occurred outside the harvest and export window and had no direct impact on the industry. Concerns were related to the unpredictability of civil unrest shocks and are associated with the time sensitivity of exporting blueberries due to their short shelf life. The study also found that despite the age of the industry it is already experiencing many changes and facing numerous challenges. The first is increasing competition in South Africa as a result of the industry’s rapid expansion as well as increasing competition from other southern hemisphere countries. The increasing supply of blueberries allows buyers to obtain more competitive prices which impacts the profitability of the industry. This is combined with other existing challenges in South Africa, like the increasing cost of essential inputs (fertiliser, fuel, electricity) and inefficient and degrading port infrastructure that often result in export delays, has reduced the profitability of the industry over the last few years. South Africa’s current social and economic climate makes it harder for farmers to acquire loans or investments which limits their ability to adopt new technology or expand their blueberry operations. Despite the challenges of the industry, the farmers are, however, optimistic about the future of the industry and are looking at solutions such as precision agriculture, to address some of these challenges. Chapter 4 used a LCA to explore the social-ecological impacts of the blueberry industry in South Africa and found a variety of impacts. A hectare of blueberries produced in South Africa had the potential to damage (1) population health through increasing the number of years lost to ill-health (measured as disability-adjusted life years), (2) the economy, by increasing the cost required to extract resources in the future (measured as surplus resource cost), and (3) the environment, by contributing to biodiversity loss(measured using species loss potential per annum). The production phase of blueberries contributed to more than 90 per cent of the impact, driven by the use of protective structures (plastic tunnels), fertiliser, agrochemicals and fuel, while packaging and storage were responsible for the remaining impact. While the same pattern was observed for apples, grapes, oranges, pears and strawberries, blueberries had the lowest impact on human health, the economy and the environment in comparison. In, I also reflected on the potential of the LCA ReCiPe 2016 method (Huijbregts et al., 2017) as a tool to quantify the social-ecological impact of a system within the telecoupling framework. In the end, I found that LCA impacts are restricted to selected environmental indicators that are converted to high level social, economic and ecological impacts. Therefore the LCA alone does not account for all of the impacts and should be combined with other methods such as surveys and interviews to identify the broader impacts. I addressed this limitation of the LCA by including other impacts of the industry that emerged during interviews were discussed. These impacts include both negative and positive impacts such as creating job opportunities, adding to the tourism industry, and decreasing the aesthetic appeal of scenic tourist routes. In conclusion, the blueberry industry is a well-suited case study to explore the social-ecological drivers and impacts of a commercial superfood industry in Africa using the telecoupling framework, as the production is mainly driven by consumers in faraway places (Europe and Asia).