Department of Forest and Wood Science
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Browsing Department of Forest and Wood Science by Author "Alieu, Emmanuel Keifala"
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- ItemA strategic forestry development plan for the Western area of Sierra Leone(Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University, 1996) Alieu, Emmanuel Keifala; Uys, H. J. E.; Stellenbosch University. Faculty of AgriSciences. Department of Forest and Wood Science.ENGLISH ABSTRACT: This study comprises forecasting the demand for sawnwood, construction poles (mostly Anisophyllea laurina) and Funtumia africana logs for utilization in the Western Area of Sierra Leone. Trend analysis of production, sales and consumption of the three products covering the period 1985 to 1995, form the basis of the demand forecasts for the period 1996 to 2005. The trend of each of fifteen data surces for the three products are initially analysed using seven different regression models on a comparative basis. The compound growth model described the trend better than the other six and was therefore used in projecting the future demand for most data sources and products. The possible effects of demand shifters are taken into account and the initial forecasts are amended accordingly. Both Quattro-Pro (version 3.0) and Statgraphics (versions 3.0 and 6.0) are used in the initial trend analysis. The demand forescasts to the year 2005 are used to develop short-, medium- and long-term project proposals aimed at the satisfaction of these demands. The environmental limitations of the Western Area are taken into account in the development of the project proposals. Social, physical and logistical constraints are considered in the drafting of the strategic forestry development plan for the Western Area of Sierra Leone.