The fall of the Wall, the rise of the BRICs and the new Scramble for Africa
Date
2011
Authors
Kahn M.
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Abstract
Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to construct a possible future scenario for South Africa in Africa using the backcast approach. Design/methodology/approach: The methodology followed is to present a brief political and economic history of African colonization and de-colonization, globalisation and the rise of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICs). Strengths and weaknesses are discussed and used to sketch a desired future scenario from which the backcast is constructed. Findings: It is suggested that the optimal future is one involving SADC-MERCOSUR alliance with South Africa and Brazil as the respective leaders Research limitations/implications: A study of this kind is necessarily speculative. Practical implications: The paper alerts policy makers to the threats and opportunities inherent in south-south dialogue. Social implications: The prospect of collaboration holds promise of social upliftment in the region. Originality/value: The arguments are original to the author. © Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
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Foresight
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