A systems dynamic model for drug abuse and drug-related crime in the Western Cape Province of South Africa

Nyabadza, Farai ; Coetzee, Lezanie (2017)

CITATION: Nyabadza, F. & Coetzee, L. 2017. A systems dynamic model for drug abuse and drug-related crime in the Western Cape Province of South Africa. Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine, 2017:1-14 (Article ID 4074197), doi:10.1155/2017/4074197.

The original publication is available at http://www.hindawi.com/journals/cmmm

Publication of this article was funded by the Stellenbosch University Open Access Fund.

Article

The complex problem of drug abuse and drug-related crimes in communities in the Western Cape province cannot be studied in isolation but through the system they are embedded in. In this paper, a theoretical model to evaluate the syndemic of substance abuse and drug-related crimes within the Western Cape province of South Africa is constructed and explored. The dynamics of drug abuse and drug-related crimes within the Western Cape are simulated using STELLA software. The simulation results are consistent with the data from SACENDU and CrimeStats SA, highlighting the usefulness of such a model in designing and planning interventions to combat substance abuse and its related problems.

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