Browsing by Issue Date

Now showing items 1-6 of 6

    • Projected early spread of COVID-19 in Africa 

      Pearson, Carl A. B.; Van Schalkwyk, Cari; Foss, Anna M.; O'Reilly, Kathleen M.; CMMID COVID-19 working group; SACEMA; Pulliam, Juliet R. C. (2020)
      For African countries currently reporting COVID-19 cases, we estimate when they will report more than 1 000 and 10 000 cases. Assuming current trends, more than 80% are likely to exceed 1 000 cases by the end of April 2020, ...

    • Outbreak response intervention models of vaccine-preventable diseases in humans and foot-and- mouth disease in livestock : a protocol for a systematic review 

      Azam, James M.; Are, Elisha B.; Pang, Xiaoxi; Ferrari, Matthew J.; Pulliam, Juliet R. C. (BMJ Publishing Group, 2020)
      Introduction Outbreaks of vaccine-preventable diseases continue to threaten public health, despite the proven effectiveness of vaccines. Interventions such as vaccination, social distancing and palliative care are ...

    • Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths 

      Jombart, Thibaut; Van Zandvoort, Kevin; Russell, Timothy W.; Jarvis, Christopher I.; Gimma, Amy; Abbott, Sam; Clifford, Sam; Funk, Sebastian; Gibbs, Hamish; Liu, Yang; Pearson, Carl A. B.; Bosse, Nikos I.; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COVID-19 Working Group; Eggo, Rosalind, M.; Kucharski, Adam J.; Edmunds, W. John (2020)
      We estimate the number of COVID-19 cases from newly reported deaths in a population without previous reports. Our results suggest that by the time a single death occurs, hundreds to thousands of cases are likely to be ...

    • Extinction probabilities as a function of temperature for populations of tsetse (Glossina spp.) 

      Are, Elisha B.; Hargrove, John W. (Public Library of Science, 2020)
      Significant reductions in populations of tsetse (Glossina spp) in parts of Zimbabwe have been attributed to increases in temperature over recent decades. Sustained increases in temperature might lead to local extinctions ...

    • Effectiveness of interventions targeting air travellers for delaying local outbreaks of SARS-CoV-2 

      Clifford, Samuel; Pearson, Carl A. B.; Klepac, Petra; Van Zandvoort, Kevin; Quilty, Billy J.; CMMID COVID-19 working group; Eggo, Rosalind, M.; Flasche, Stefan (Oxford University Press, 2020)
      Background: We evaluated if interventions aimed at air travellers can delay local SARS-CoV-2 community transmission in a previously unaffected country. Methods: We simulated infected air travellers arriving into countries ...

    • COVID-19 length of hospital stay: a systematic review and data synthesis 

      Rees, Eleanor M.; Nightingale, Emily S.; Jafari, Yalda; Waterlow, Naomi R.; Clifford, Samuel; Pearson, Carl A. B.; CMMID Working Group; Jombart, Thibaut; Procter, Simon R.; Knight, Gwenan M. (2020)
      Background: The COVID-19 pandemic has placed an unprecedented strain on health systems, with rapidly increasing demand for healthcare in hospitals and intensive care units (ICUs) worldwide. As the pandemic escalates, ...