Doctoral Degrees (School of Public Leadership)

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    Developing a results-based monitoring and evaluation system for the child support grants programme in Namibia
    (Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University, 2023-12) Nshimyimana, Brigitte; Rabie, Babette; Stellenbosch University. Faculty of Economic and Management Sciences. School of Public Leadership.
    ENGLISH SUMMARY: Results-focused Monitoring and Evaluation (RBM&E) systems are critical to support informed strategic policy-making, planning, budgeting, management and improvement and informed reporting that contributes to accountability and integrity. The systematic development of an RBM&E system balances the demand for practical, accurate and reliable information to support policy and program implementation decisions with the accompanying cost and capacity implications of developing the system. A well-developed monitoring and evaluation (M&E) system requires proper planning, efficient management and sufficient resources for maintenance and sustainability. It is important that monitoring and evaluation systems are institutionalized to effectively support the long-term development mandates of the government so that the accepted results can be successfully delivered. Institutionalized M&E systems ensure consistent approaches to measuring development results and identifying any deviations. This study identifies a limitation in the available M&E data that measures the realized outcomes for the beneficiaries of cash transfer programs in support of child well-being in Namibia. The problem is addressed by (a) a literature review of concepts, theories and context for RBM&E systems that identify best practices that can be applied in the development of the RBM&E system for the child support grants (CSG) program; b) an assessment of the Namibian public sector RBM&E policy frameworks given international best practice guidelines in the development of such systems; c) identifying the mechanisms and intended results of cash transfer programs, including the objectives, implementation plan and intended child welfare outcomes; (d) a historical overview of child support monitoring and evaluation practices in the Namibian context; e) the assessment of the applicability of the existing RBM&E system for the CSG program as administered by the relevant Ministry; (f) the development of an improved RBM&E system for the child support grant program in Namibia and similar contexts; and (g) further recommendations for policy makers, administrative officers and academic researchers contributing to the improvement of RBM&E systems for child sensitive cash transfer programs. The study adopts an exploratory, descriptive and explanatory qualitative design given the specific aim and objectives. A comprehensive review of the existing M&E processes in the public sector development programs is supported by an analysis of the intended outcomes of cash transfer programs that promote child well-being. Existing indicators and theories of change that focus on the desired improvement in child welfare are analyzed. The empirical part of the study assesses the suitability of the existing RBM&E for the CSG program as currently in operation in the Namibian Ministry of Gender Equality, Poverty Eradication and Social Welfare. The study lead to the development of an improved RBM&E system for the CSG program in Namibia and similar contexts. The improved RBM&E system is further improved by input from specifically selected program managers and officers from the Directorate: Social Protection who are responsible for the implementation of the CSG programme, as well as managers and officers from the Directorate: Policy Planning and Research who are responsible for M&E in the Ministry. The proposed RBM&E system for the CSG program in Namibia provides valuable insight for cash transfer programs supporting child welfare in similar contexts. The study describes in detail the steps for the development of an RBM&E system, the creation of institutional support, the development of outcome-oriented indicators, requirements for data collection, verification and storage as well as reporting, the application of M&E information and creating sufficient financial and further capacity for the successful implementation of the RBM&E system.
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    Participatory budgeting to foster inclusivity, transparency and accountability in local government : a case of the City of Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality
    (Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University, 2023-12) Kraai, Sonya Delene; Zwelinzima, Ndevu; Stellenbosch University. Faculty of Economic and Management Sciences. School of Public Leadership.
    ENGLISH SUMMARY: This study investigates participatory budgeting (PB) in the City of Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality, focusing on public participation, resource allocation, and good governance. In addition, it investigates the degree to which it is used as a bottom-up strategy and the involvement of civil society. This study highlighted the importance of meaningful discussion within participatory governance systems in local governments. It demonstrates the applicability of the available mechanisms as well as the necessity of enhancing participatory budgeting at the local level. Virtuous municipalities involve the public early in the process and during the crucial debate and discussion stages. A straightforward legislative procedure does not ensure the effective implementation of participatory governance. As a result, this study adds a fresh perspective on the stages of participatory budgeting design, an original framework, and unique characteristics like mainstreaming participatory budgeting to the ongoing discussion. Therefore, the results of this inquiry may be useful in supporting public servants in making decisions regarding how to construct and develop the entire participatory budgeting process to increase trust. This study acknowledges that integrated development planning and participatory budgeting are frequently confounded in Local Government. The municipality is expected to ascribe a moral and a legal obligation to the communities they serve by involving them in determining, prioritising, and implementing socio-economic development planning. Along with municipal plans, PB should be implemented in municipal governments through a stage process that is structured within a framework to accomplish this goal. The assessment of relevant literature acknowledges that rationality, public reason and justification, decision-making, public participation, and a supporting public sector are all components of deliberative democracy. Deliberate PB emphasises the need for adequate levels of citizen participation in democratic debates for participatory budgeting to be effective. To comprehend participatory budgeting in local government, the use of a single case study of Ekurhuleni experiences in PB included the adoption of qualitative research methodologies, such as online surveys with open-ended questions and primary data sources. Data triangulation was an essential step in guaranteeing that the case study would accurately assess the participant's views and provide a rich data that assist in responding to the study aim. Findings from this study reveal the lack of community participation in the budget processes, the importance of budget information and transparency, and the fundamentals of the political will in a democratic society to strengthen democracy and good governance. The findings also revealed that ward committee members lack the skills and expertise to discuss and interpret the budget of the CEMM. Thus, the case study concludes and suggests measures to cultivate a participation ethos in the budget process. The recommendation concerning institutional capacity building may assist in upskilling ward committee members and public officials. Additionally, the suggestion for the CEMM to invest in more sophisticated planning and technical tools may secure more precise and pertinent data and statistics during the analysis phase of ward priorities. An innovative PB framework is recommended as a contribution to strengthening participatory budgeting in the CEMM.
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    Label-dependent splitting for multi-label data
    (Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University, 2023-12) Muller, Annegret; Steel, S. J.; Sandrock, T.; Stellenbosch University. Faculty of Economic and Management Sciences. Dept. of Statistics and Actuarial Science.
    ENGLISH SUMMARY: Multi-label classification problems arise in scenarios where every data case can be associated with multiple labels simultaneously. Compared to single-label data, multi-label data possess unique characteristics which result in additional challenges when analysing the data. The aim of this dissertation is to address two of these challenging aspects of multi-label data. The first is the exploitation of label correlations to achieve accurate classification of unseen data cases. Secondly, strategies for input variable ranking within multi-label data are considered to allow for more interpretable results. Effective exploitation of correlation amongst labels can be a vital attribute of an accurate multilabel classification method. However, label correlations are not necessarily shared globally by all data cases. Despite this, existing methods mostly focus on global exploitation of label correlations. Therefore, a new tree-based ensemble method for multi-label classification is proposed in this dissertation, Label-Dependent splitting (LDsplit). LDsplit aims to implicitly exploit local higher-order label correlations within multi-label data by dividing the data into subgroups. The algorithm fits an ensemble of trees based on differently ordered label subsets. For each tree, different labels are used at different levels of the tree, as determined by the label order applicable to that tree. The tree-levels are made up of nodes that are split using any binary classifier. Since a tree-level depends on its label as well as previous splits made when parent nodes were formed using other labels, higher-order label correlations are implicitly incorporated into the model in a simple manner. Depending on whether random or predetermined label orders are used to fit the ensemble, either Random LDsplit or Conditional LDsplit is fit. An extensive empirical study is performed on a range of multi-label benchmark datasets. The empirical evidence shows that despite the simple framework, both Random LDsplit and Conditional LDsplit offer very competitive classification performance in comparison with existing multi-label classification methods. For multi-label data, an input variable is globally important if it is deemed important for several or all labels. However, an input variable can also be deemed locally important for a specific label. Few proposals for input variable ranking within multi-label data consider both global and local importance of variables. Moreover, existing methods mostly neglect to exploit label dependencies within the data. Therefore, different ways are outlined how an LDsplit ensemble can produce global and local input variable rankings and effectively allow for better interpretation of the data. Results obtained from synthetically generated multi-label datasets demonstrate that both the novel global and local importance measures give favourable performance.
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    Measuring child well-being in Namibia : an analysis of available national surveys, international child protection reports and evaluation studies
    (Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University, 2023-03) Kamuingona, Rahimisa; Rabie, Babette; Stellenbosch University. Faculty of Economic and Management Sciences. School of Public Leadership.
    ENGLISH SUMMARY: Namibia developed the National Policy on Orphans and Vulnerable Children in 2004 to address the plight of children who were negatively impacted by the HIV/AIDS pandemic and other social evils. The country has never conducted a formal review of the policy; however, the findings revealed that only selected objectives of the policy have been met. From this departure point, it is evident that there is a need to develop a new policy framework for children in Namibia to respond to the evolving needs of children. To ensure the effective development and implementation of a new child policy framework, Namibia needs a set of good-quality indicators to not only monitor the conditions of children, but to also address gaps and promote sound policy outcomes. These quality indicators can be aligned to measure child well-being. Adapting a child well-being approach is beneficial because it provides a multidimensional scope to collect comprehensive data on children in Namibia. The research study confirmed that data is available on child well-being in the various national surveys, international child protection reports and evaluation studies on Namibia, although not comprehensive. It has also emerged that these data are not consolidated into one instrument and are scattered across various national research mechanisms. Proposed approaches to this challenge are to either refine and institutionalise comprehensive child well-being indicators in existing research mechanisms or to adapt a child well-being index for Namibia. The study further proposes a child well-being indicator framework that combines data from existing research instruments and indicators that are useful to address the identified gaps.
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    A conceptual framework for municipal decision making in a complex context : the Hessequa case
    (Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University, 2023-03) van Rensburg, Willem Tobias Boy; Rabie, Babette; Hofmeyr, Jannie; Stellenbosch University. Faculty of Economic and Management Sciences. School of Public Leadership.
    ENGLISH SUMMARY: Municipal decision makers have to realise their constitutional objectives within a volatile, unpredictable, complex and uncertain contextual environment. Decision-making processes based on a reductionist paradigm are inadequate to address the current complexity. The complexity paradigm is more appropriate to address complex decision issues in this context. Decision making should be based on a proper understanding of contextual complexity, municipal decision-making processes, and the adaptive capacity of the municipality. Theories of systems and complexity, decision making, leadership, organisations, and governance inform the study. The qualitative, single-case case study is based on interview and focus group data, document searches, observations, and field notes. Decision-making practices from 2011 to 2021 were investigated. Multiple complementary perspectives are applied to study the internal and external municipal context at different levels of causality. Computer-assisted qualitative data analysis software, in combination with a manual process, was used to analyse transcribed data. The study integrates important findings on the municipal context, decision-making processes, and the adaptive capacity of the municipality in a conceptual framework for decision making. Multiple perspectives reveal features of the municipal context that are not visible when only a single perspective is applied. Study findings confirm that the municipal context is indeed complex. Shortcomings of the contextual analysis that informs current municipal decision making are exposed. Suggestions for improvements are made. The thematic analysis exposed critical sub-processes and structural aspects that influence decision making within the political arena of the municipality. Some processes may potentially be misused to manipulate decision making. Generally accepted myths that result in conservative decision making are identified. A novel framework to evaluate the adaptive capacity of complex systems is devised and applied. This framework exposes strengths and weaknesses of the municipal adaptive capacity in terms of twelve dimensions at, and across three interrelated levels of causality. The adaptive capacity of the municipality co-determines its ability to implement its decisions. A novel framework for municipal decision making is devised based on the empirical findings and literature review. This framework links ongoing environmental scanning and analysis, strategic foresight, strategy development and planning with municipal decision making. The framework addresses the need for collaboration and innovation to enhance adaptive capacity. It provides for adaptive spaces to enhance adaptive capacity. Feedback processes inform organisational learning and effective governance of decision processes. The framework matches decision strategies with the nature of contextualised decision issues in terms of the law of complexity. This law states that the complexity of any system must at least match the complexity of the issues that confront the system. Institutionalisation of the framework should address deficiencies of current decision processes. The framework may serve as a normative model for municipal decision making. The key finding is that Hessequa municipality does not actively address complexity. Municipalities may benefit a lot if decision makers enrich their decisions through the application of a complexity perspective. Much public value may be added by taking proper care of complexity during decision processes. Currently decision making is hampered by a limited awareness and understanding of complexity and a lack of resources and infrastructure to address it. Findings from this study primarily apply to Hessequa municipality but can be generalised and extended with care and caution to municipalities within similar contexts. This study makes an important contribution to academic literature on municipal decision making in South Africa. First, it demonstrates how multiple complementary perspectives provide a rich contextual understanding of a complex system, such as a municipality, in its context. Second, it demonstrates how the application of a complexity perspective can reveal aspects of municipal decision making that a simple linear approach cannot uncover. Third, it proposes a novel framework for evaluating the adaptive capacity of a complex adaptive system, such as a municipality. Fourth, it demonstrates how a novel framework for municipal decision making not only captures much of the key information that is required for decision making but also serves as a resource to address the complexity that confronts a municipality. Application of both frameworks may have practical value for the municipality and public value for its residents.