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Handling uncertainty in a court of law
(Stellenbosch Law Review : Juta Law, 2012)
The ability to analyse uncertainty does not reside within most people's experience. Certain fallacies frequently appear. An important example is the so-called prosecutor's fallacy. It is a specific error of logic commonly ...
Underestimating the probability of coincidence
(Obiter Law Journal: Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University (NMMU), Faculty of Law, 2014)
Coincidences are more common than most people might expect. It is quite possible that different pieces of evidence that seem to point in the same direction do so coincidentally. We come to the best possible conclusion about ...