Economic participation of the older cohorts of a young population: a South African futures perspective

Viljoen, Catherine Doris (2016-12)

Thesis (MPhil)--Stellenbosch University, 2016.


ENGLISH SUMMARY : This study was undertaken to explore the current status and plausible future development paths of economic participation among the older cohorts of the South African population. Statistical analysis of the ageing paths as well as demographic characteristics were performed. A causal layered analysis opened up the present and deepened understanding of the problem, while the issues that influence the economic participation of people 55 and older were analysed through scoring, impact analysis and the construction of a causal loop diagram. Four 2030 scenarios were developed around the key uncertainties of the willingness and ability of the people 55 and older to participate in the economy on the one axis and the potential of the system to support and enable economic participation on the other axis. Findings indicated that planners and policy makers may be surprised by the rapid increase in the number of older people in South Africa - current policies and initiatives to enable economic participation focus on the youth.

AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING : Geen opsomming beskikbaar.

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