Possible relationships between the changing world of work and inequality in South Africa by 2030: a scenario driven approach

Becker, Markus Michael (2016-12)

Thesis (MPhil)--Stellenbosch University, 2016.

Thesis

ENGLISH SUMMARY : This study set out to investigate possible relationships between the changing world of work and inequality in South Africa by 2030. To accomplish this objective a research methodology was carefully designed that consisted of a changing world of work environmental scan and a primary study with a diverse focus group. This group first conducted a Causal Layered Analysis to deepen the understanding of inequality in present day South Africa and then proceeded by developing scenarios along the changing world of work and inequality for the year 2030. Five plausible scenarios emerged. The ideal future scenario described a world where technology was used to benefit all South Africans which helped to drastically decrease poverty, unemployment and inequality. A second scenario where lower levels of poverty, unemployment and inequality could be achieved was through a social compact, where some sacrifices by privileged sectors of society made re-industrialisation at a large scale possible. Three dystopian scenarios were also discussed. In the first technology was controlled by an elite, for their own benefit only, which further increased inequality; the second described a future which is not that different to South Africa in 2016, but as time passed without focused action, unemployment and inequality deteriorated; the final of these scenarios described a future where most wealth and skills have left the country, creating a poorer but more equal South Africa.

AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING : Geen opsomming beskikbaar.

Please refer to this item in SUNScholar by using the following persistent URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/101930
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